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NEAR

NEAR Protocol · L1 + Intents

48 /100
T3Mixed · #18 of 77
Money routeStableReviewed Oct 23, 2026
DemandSoundnessDurability
18 of 4520 of 4010 of 15

Key facts

SupplyFloat 100% of issued supply
FDV / market cap
1.0x
$6.0B / $6.0B
Market cap
$6.0B
Price $4.62, 7d −8.1%

Market data: CoinGecko, Oct 24, 2026. Scores reviewed Oct 23, 2026.

Assessment

NEAR's engine is monetary rather than cash flow: about $186M of NEAR and its liquid staking tokens is posted on Burrow, a third-party lender, while the 70% gas burn acts on tiny fees and the Intents-fee buyback is discretionary and held in a multisig, with ~$0.9M/yr reaching holders. Inflation is capped at 2.5%/yr since the 2025 cut from 5%, and genesis vesting has ended. Staking is broad, with 593M NEAR over 397 validators putting a halt at ~$1B, but one client runs the chain. What holds it back is distribution: backers, team and Foundation pools took ~88% of the 1B genesis, still ~67% of today's supply.

How value reaches holders

70% of gas is burned, but on only ~$1.3-2.7M/yr of chain fees; the Intents-fee buyback launched Feb 2026 is discretionary (NEAR Foundation, Feb 24: 'governance retains full discretion'), runs ad hoc, and bought NEAR is held in a multisig rather than burned. DefiLlama tracks ~$0.9M/yr reaching holders (Oct 19, 2026). Inflation halved to 2.5%

Score anatomy

Demand

18 / 45: the stronger of two routes, plus adoption

Why would anyone hold it: does value reach the token, and is the network or product used today?

Holder routing engine input
2

The Intents-fee buyback is discretionary and held in a multisig; DefiLlama tracks ~$0.9M/yr reaching holders

Small or discretionary flows, plumbing under 25%, or buy-and-hold into a treasuryHow this is scored

Revenue reality engine input
3
Monetary usage engine input
2

~$186M of NEAR and NEAR LSTs (LiNEAR $81M, rNEAR $54M, stNEAR $37M, NEAR $14M) posted on Burrow, a third-party lender (DefiLlama, Oct 23, 2026).

Measurable niche monetary use: payment rails, savings products, or collateral at third-party venues below the next levelmedium confidenceHow this is scored

Adoption ×3
2

NEAR chain TVL $0.23B and fees $1.24M TTM (-75% YoY); NEAR Intents is the live product ($53M fees, ~$32B volume TTM) but small next to leading chains

Niche: real but small use, far behind its category leadersmedium confidenceHow this is scored

Two routes, the stronger counts

01234512cash flowmoney
Revenue 3, minus 2 for routing 2 = cash flow 1. Money use 2. The engine is the stronger route: 2.

Soundness

20 / 40

Can a long-term holder trust the rules: supply, float, distribution and control?

Supply discipline ×3
3

Protocol inflation capped at 2.5%/yr since the 2025 cut from 5%, with a 70% gas burn on tiny fees; the rate changes by validator-adopted protocol upgrade.

1-3%/yr on a published curve, or 3-7%/yr under a hard cap with halvingsmedium confidenceHow this is scored

Float and unlocks ×1
5

All 1.31B issued NEAR counts as circulating and genesis vesting has ended; no scheduled unlocks (Foundation treasury size undisclosed).

Fully vested, no scheduled unlocksmedium confidenceHow this is scored

Distribution ×2
0

Backers 17.6% + small backers 6.1%, core team 14%, Foundation endowment and grant pools ~50%: ~88% of the 1B genesis (~67% of today's 1.31B); the 12% CoinList sale (Aug 2020, $0.40) was above backer prices

Insiders received over 50%, or one organization directs over 30% todaymedium confidenceHow this is scored

Decentralization and security ×2
3

593M NEAR staked over 397 validators (top 5.6%, 10 reach 1/3), so a halt costs ~$1B at $4.93; one client (nearcore); Jul 2025 bug cut output to ~0.1 blocks/s for ~30 min but blocks kept coming

Attack cost $100M-1B with the top entity under 35%, or contracts immutable or upgradeable only by on-chain vote with a 7+ day exit window on a base layer scoring 4+medium confidenceHow this is scored

Durability

10 / 15

Is it big, proven and reachable by institutions?

Scale ×1
4

$6.4B market cap (band 4), $1.0B/day median volume (band 5), no flags.

Major: $1-10B market cap and $50M/day+How this is scored

Track record ×1
3

Token transfers since Oct 13, 2020 (6.0 years); fell 96% from $20.6 (Jan 2022) to $0.84 (Feb 2026); no coordinated halt found in the last 5 years.

5-8 years and survived an 80%+ drawdownmedium confidenceHow this is scored

Institutional access ×1
3

US spot NEAR ETFs hold $85.2M (SoSoValue, Oct 22, 2026), under $500M; Valour Near ETP in Europe.

One US spot ETF, or US ETFs under $500Mhigh confidenceHow this is scored

What would move it up

To reach T2 Strong, 4 gates are still open:

  • Score 48needs 55(open)
  • Value engine 2needs 3(open)
  • Adoption 2needs 3(open)
  • Distribution 0needs 1(open)
  • Supply 3gate 2(met)
  • Security 3gate 2(met)
  • Float and unlocks 5gate 1(met)
  • Scale 4gate 3(met)

Tier outlook

Stable

  • Distribution stays at 0 while genesis insiders account for over half of all NEAR ever issued (~67% today)
  • Holder routing rises if Intents-fee buybacks are burned by rule instead of held in a multisig
  • Usage rises to 3 if NEAR posted at third-party lenders passes $1B (~$186M on Oct 23, 2026)
  • Security rises to 4 only with a second production client alongside nearcore

Compare with

How the ranking works and how NEAR compares: see the full ranking. This entry as JSON:

GET https://tokens.10102.io/api/v1/tokenomics?symbol=NEAR