← Ranking

TON

TON / Telegram · L1 + Telegram ecosystem

37 /100
T4Speculative · #36 of 77
Money routeCould move up ↑low likelihoodReviewed Oct 23, 2026
DemandSoundnessDurability
21 of 459 of 407 of 15

Key facts

SupplyFloat 54% of issued supply
  • Circulating 2.83B, 54%
  • Locked or unvested 2.44B, 46%
  • No cap: supply can keep growing, see Supply discipline
FDV / market cap
1.9x
$6.6B / $3.5B
Market cap
$3.5B
Price $1.24, 7d −7.8%

Market data: CoinGecko, Oct 24, 2026. Scores reviewed Oct 23, 2026.

Assessment

TON, listed as GRAM on CoinGecko, carries its engine on the money route: Fragment took ~$41.9M paid in TON over the trailing year for Telegram usernames, numbers and Stars, while protocol fees of ~$0.9M a year are split between burn and bonded stake. Catchain 2.0 (Apr 2026) stepped issuance up from ~0.6% to ~3.6-4% a year, a schedule raise. There was no sale or VC, but 2020-22 PoW mining was concentrated and Telegram still holds up to 10%. Halts in Aug 2024 and Jun 2025 weigh on security, and ~1.08B TON frozen in early-miner wallets since Feb 2023, about 38% of float, unfreezes ~Feb 21, 2027.

How value reaches holders

50% of gas fees burned, but MTONGA cut fees ~6x (May 2026) toward feeless while Catchain 2.0 (Apr 2026) stepped inflation ~0.6% to ~3.6-4%; ecosystem revenue (ads, Fragment) accrues to Telegram the company

Score anatomy

Demand

21 / 45: the stronger of two routes, plus adoption

Why would anyone hold it: does value reach the token, and is the network or product used today?

Holder routing engine input
4

50% of fees burned and 50% paid to bonded stake by the elector, on only ~$0.9M/yr of fees

Plumbing at 50%+, or 100% via contract but governance-revocableHow this is scored

Revenue reality engine input
1

$0.5-5M/yr, or undisclosed

How this is scored

Monetary usage engine input
2

Fragment (Telegram usernames, numbers, Stars) took ~$41.9M paid in TON over the trailing year (DefiLlama), a payment rail; EVAA holds $6M of tsTON.

Measurable niche monetary use: payment rails, savings products, or collateral at third-party venues below the next levelmedium confidenceHow this is scored

Adoption ×3
3

Fragment took $370M of Telegram payments in TON TTM, but chain TVL is $0.05B and stablecoins $0.63B (-27% YoY); real consumer use, small DeFi

Established: a meaningful, steady share of its categorylow confidenceHow this is scored

Two routes, the stronger counts

0123450.52cash flowmoney
Revenue 1, minus 0.5 for routing 4 = cash flow 0.5. Money use 2. The engine is the stronger route: 2.

Soundness

9 / 40

Can a long-term holder trust the rules: supply, float, distribution and control?

Supply discipline ×3
1

~3.6-4%/yr issuance after Catchain 2.0 (Apr 2026) stepped it up from ~0.6%, a schedule raise within 24 months; validators vote config changes.

7-15%/yr, or the issuance schedule was raised in the last 24 monthsmedium confidenceHow this is scored

Float and unlocks ×1
0

Float 54% (2.83B of 5.27B); ~1.08B TON in early-miner wallets frozen by a Feb 2023 validator vote for 48 months unfreezes ~Feb 21, 2027, ~38% of float.

Under 15% float, or a cliff of 25%+ of float within 12 monthslow confidenceHow this is scored

Distribution ×2
2

No sale or VC (Telegram's $1.7B Gram presale was refunded); 98.55% mined via PoW givers 2020-22 but concentrated; Telegram held over 10% in 2024 and is now capped at 10% and selling

Insiders received 10-25%, or one organization directs 3-10%low confidenceHow this is scored

Decentralization and security ×2
1

Block production halted ~40 minutes on Jun 1, 2025 (masterchain dispatch-queue error), after multi-hour halts during the DOGS launch in Aug 2024

A halt, rollback or exploited consensus bug in the last 24 months, attack cost under $10M, or a foundation-selected validator set or small multisig can halt or upgrade with no meaningful exit windowhigh confidenceHow this is scored

Durability

7 / 15

Is it big, proven and reachable by institutions?

Scale ×1
3

$3.7B market cap (band 4), $34.6M/day median volume (band 3), no flags.

Mid-cap: $250M-1B market cap and $10M/day+How this is scored

Track record ×1
2

The network halted for ~6 hours on Aug 27-28, 2024 under DOGS launch load and validators restarted it: a coordinated restart inside 5 years.

3-5 years, or a rollback, coordinated chain-wide halt or restart, or a $50M+ exploit in the last 5 yearshigh confidenceHow this is scored

Institutional access ×1
2

Valour Gram ETP and 21Shares Toncoin staking ETP (Xetra) in Europe; no US spot filing found. CoinGecko now lists the token as GRAM.

OTC trust, non-US product, or a pending US filinghigh confidenceHow this is scored

What would move it up

To reach T3 Mixed, one gate is still open:

  • Score 37needs 40(open)
  • Value engine 2gate 2(met)
  • Adoption 3gate 2(met)
  • Supply 1gate 1(met)

Tier outlook · next trigger Feb 21, 2027

Could move up ↑low likelihood

  • Overhang lifts from 0 once the ~1.08B TON early-miner freeze ends ~Feb 21, 2027 and the cliff is behind it
  • Security rises to 2 if no halt follows the Jun 1, 2025 stop through Jun 2027
  • Supply rises to 2 from Apr 2028, 24 months after the Catchain 2.0 schedule raise, if issuance holds near ~3.6-4%/yr
  • Usage holds at 2 only while Fragment payments in TON stay measurable (~$41.9M over the trailing year)

Compare with

How the ranking works and how TON compares: see the full ranking. This entry as JSON:

GET https://tokens.10102.io/api/v1/tokenomics?symbol=TON