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CKB

Nervos Network · RISC-V L1 (CKB-VM since 2019)

30 /100
T5Impaired · #60 of 77
No engine yetStableReviewed Oct 23, 2026

Capped at T5: fading security. CKB 30-day hashrate is 88 TH/s, 80% under its Jan 2025 peak of 445 TH/s and 65% below a year ago, falling almost every month since early 2025: a textbook sustained decline.

DemandSoundnessDurability
9 of 4515 of 406 of 15

Key facts

SupplyFloat 98% of issued supply
  • Circulating 49.76B, 98%
  • Locked or unvested 859.4M, 2%
  • No cap: supply can keep growing, see Supply discipline
FDV / market cap
1.0x
$74.3M / $73.0M
Market cap
$73.0M
Price $0.0015, 7d −4.4%

Market data: CoinGecko, Oct 24, 2026. Scores reviewed Oct 23, 2026.

Assessment

Nervos has no material value engine: CKB pays its own network's fees, and NervosDAO deposits (~16.5% of supply) work like staking, sheltering lockers from secondary issuance rather than serving as money. Total issuance runs ~5.2% a year in 2026 (3.18% base plus 2.03% secondary) with no cap, since secondary issuance never ends. Float is 98%, and insiders got 53% of the 2019 genesis, ~29% of all CKB ever issued, beside an open 21.5% CoinList sale. Eaglesong hashrate rents for ~$374 an hour and F2Pool mines ~38%, so halting the chain for six hours costs far under $10M.

How value reaches holders

Sophisticated but demand-starved: base issuance halves ~every 4 years (next ~2027) + fixed 1.344B CKB/yr secondary issuance funding state rent. ~72% of the treasury share of secondary issuance is burned today; total issuance ~5.2%/yr in 2026 (3.18% base + 2.03% secondary; supply 50.21B to 50.59B Aug-Oct), of which NervosDAO shelters lockers from the secondary part only. DAO 1.1 treasury governance live Feb 2026

Score anatomy

Demand

9 / 45: the stronger of two routes, plus adoption

Why would anyone hold it: does value reach the token, and is the network or product used today?

Holder routing engine input
1

Approved or designed but inert, indirect sinks only, or flows into a treasury or endowment

How this is scored

Revenue reality engine input
0

Under $0.5M/yr, or emissions-subsidized only

How this is scored

Monetary usage engine input
1

Pays CKB fees; NervosDAO deposits (~16.5% of supply) shelter holders from secondary issuance, a staking-like role (panel 1).

Pays its own network's fees (gas never counts higher, whatever the size of the economy)high confidenceHow this is scored

Adoption ×3
1

RGB++ and Fiber failed to gain adoption and activity fell ~70% YoY: negligible use

Marginal or fading: negligible use for its size, usage down 60%+ year on year, or a lost forkmedium confidenceHow this is scored

Two routes, the stronger counts

01234501cash flowmoney
Revenue 0, minus 4 for routing 1 = cash flow 0. Money use 1. The engine is the stronger route: 1.

Soundness

15 / 40

Can a long-term holder trust the rules: supply, float, distribution and control?

Supply discipline ×3
2

~5.2%/yr total issuance in 2026 (3.18% base + 2.03% secondary) with no cap: secondary issuance never ends.

3-7%/yr net growth without a hard caphigh confidenceHow this is scored

Float and unlocks ×1
5

Float 98% (49.75B of 50.61B); genesis vesting completed years ago.

Fully vested, no scheduled unlockshigh confidenceHow this is scored

Distribution ×2
1

Team, private sale, ecosystem fund, partners and the Foundation got 53% of the 2019 genesis, ~29% of all CKB ever issued (incl. genesis and treasury burns); the 21.5% CoinList sale was open

Insiders received 25-50%, or one organization directs 10-30%high confidenceHow this is scored

Decentralization and security ×2
1

~103 PH/s of Eaglesong rents for ~$374 an hour (crypto51) and F2Pool mines ~38%, so a 6-hour attack costs far below $10M

A halt, rollback or exploited consensus bug in the last 24 months, attack cost under $10M, or a foundation-selected validator set or small multisig can halt or upgrade with no meaningful exit windowhigh confidenceHow this is scored

Durability

6 / 15

Is it big, proven and reachable by institutions?

Scale ×1
2

$75.0M market cap (band 2), $3.4M/day median volume (band 2), no flags.

Small: $50-250M market cap and $1M/day+How this is scored

Track record ×1
3

Mainnet Nov 16, 2019 (6.9 years) and fell over 95% from its 2021 high (panel 3).

5-8 years and survived an 80%+ drawdownhigh confidenceHow this is scored

Institutional access ×1
1

Spot on Binance and Upbit; no ETP, trust or US filing; DAXA caution in Korea (panel 1).

Top-tier exchanges only, or delisting pressurehigh confidenceHow this is scored

What would move it up

Capped at T5: fading security. CKB 30-day hashrate is 88 TH/s, 80% under its Jan 2025 peak of 445 TH/s and 65% below a year ago, falling almost every month since early 2025: a textbook sustained decline. The cap lifts only if the condition reverses; the gates below apply after that.

To reach T4 Speculative, every gate is met.

  • Supply 2gate 1(met)

Tier outlook

Stable

  • Engine needs measurable monetary use: third-party collateral, or payments through Fiber Network or RGB++
  • Supply stays at 2 after the ~2027 base-issuance halving (base ~3.18% to ~1.6%, secondary 2.03% unchanged)
  • Security rises if Eaglesong hashrate grows enough to lift a 6-hour attack cost past $10M
  • Access: the Korean DAXA caution notice and the Upbit CKB/KRW market
  • Materiality: a market cap under $50M (~$75M at review) moves it to the emerging list

Compare with

How the ranking works and how CKB compares: see the full ranking. This entry as JSON:

GET https://tokens.10102.io/api/v1/tokenomics?symbol=CKB